Quantitative Analysis for Management, Global Edition.
For courses in management science and decision modeling.Foundational understanding of management science through real-world problems and solutions Quantitative Analysis for Management helps students to develop a real-world understanding of business analytics, quantitative methods, and management sci...
Main Author: | |
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Other Authors: | , , |
Format: | eBook |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Harlow, United Kingdom :
Pearson Education, Limited,
2018.
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Edition: | 13th ed. |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | View fulltext via EzAccess |
Table of Contents:
- Cover
- Title Page
- Copyright Page
- About the Authors
- Brief Contents
- Contents
- Preface
- Acknowledgments
- Chapter 1: Introduction to Quantitative Analysis
- 1.1. What Is Quantitative Analysis?
- 1.2. Business Analytics
- 1.3. The Quantitative Analysis Approach
- Defining the Problem
- Developing a Model
- Acquiring Input Data
- Developing a Solution
- Testing the Solution
- Analyzing the Results and Sensitivity Analysis
- Implementing the Results
- The Quantitative Analysis Approach and Modeling in the Real World
- 1.4. How to Develop a Quantitative Analysis Model
- The Advantages of Mathematical Modeling
- Mathematical Models Categorized by Risk
- 1.5. The Role of Computers and Spreadsheet Models in the Quantitative Analysis Approach
- 1.6. Possible Problems in the Quantitative Analysis Approach
- Defining the Problem
- Developing a Model
- Acquiring Input Data
- Developing a Solution
- Testing the Solution
- Analyzing the Results
- 1.7. Implementation-Not Just the Final Step
- Lack of Commitment and Resistance to Change
- Lack of Commitment by Quantitative Analysts
- Summary
- Glossary
- Key Equations
- Self-Test
- Discussion Questions and Problems
- Case Study: Food and Beverages at Southwestern University Football Games
- Bibliography
- Chapter 2: Probability Concepts and Applications
- 2.1. Fundamental Concepts
- Two Basic Rules of Probability
- Types of Probability
- Mutually Exclusive and Collectively Exhaustive Events
- Unions and Intersections of Events
- Probability Rules for Unions, Intersections, and Conditional Probabilities
- 2.2. Revising Probabilities with Bayes' Theorem
- General Form of Bayes' Theorem
- 2.3. Further Probability Revisions
- 2.4. Random Variables
- 2.5. Probability Distributions
- Probability Distribution of a Discrete Random Variable.
- Expected Value of a Discrete Probability Distribution
- Variance of a Discrete Probability Distribution
- Probability Distribution of a Continuous Random Variable
- 2.6. The Binomial Distribution
- Solving Problems with the Binomial Formula
- Solving Problems with Binomial Tables
- 2.7. The Normal Distribution
- Area Under the Normal Curve
- Using the Standard Normal Table
- Haynes Construction Company Example
- The Empirical Rule
- 2.8. The F Distribution
- 2.9. The Exponential Distribution
- Arnold's Muffler Example
- 2.10. The Poisson Distribution
- Summary
- Glossary
- Key Equations
- Solved Problems
- Self-Test
- Discussion Questions and Problems
- Case Study: WTVX
- Bibliography
- Appendix 2.1: Derivation of Bayes' Theorem
- Chapter 3: Decision Analysis
- 3.1. The Six Steps in Decision Making
- 3.2. Types of Decision-Making Environments
- 3.3. Decision Making Under Uncertainty
- Optimistic
- Pessimistic
- Criterion of Realism (Hurwicz Criterion)
- Equally Likely (Laplace)
- Minimax Regret
- 3.4. Decision Making Under Risk
- Expected Monetary Value
- Expected Value of Perfect Information
- Expected Opportunity Loss
- Sensitivity Analysis
- A Minimization Example
- 3.5. Using Software for Payoff Table Problems
- QM for Windows
- Excel QM
- 3.6. Decision Trees
- Efficiency of Sample Information
- Sensitivity Analysis
- 3.7. How Probability Values Are Estimated by Bayesian Analysis
- Calculating Revised Probabilities
- Potential Problem in Using Survey Results
- 3.8. Utility Theory
- Measuring Utility and Constructing a Utility Curve
- Utility as a Decision-Making Criterion
- Summary
- Glossary
- Key Equations
- Solved Problems
- Self-Test
- Discussion Questions and Problems
- Case Study: Starting Right Corporation
- Case Study: Toledo Leather Company
- Case Study: Blake Electronics.
- Bibliography
- Chapter 4: Regression Models
- 4.1. Scatter Diagrams
- 4.2. Simple Linear Regression
- 4.3. Measuring the Fit of the Regression Model
- Coefficient of Determination
- Correlation Coefficient
- 4.4. Assumptions of the Regression Model
- Estimating the Variance
- 4.5. Testing the Model for Significance
- Triple A Construction Example
- The Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) Table
- Triple A Construction ANOVA Example
- 4.6. Using Computer Software for Regression
- Excel 2016
- Excel QM
- QM for Windows
- 4.7. Multiple Regression Analysis
- Evaluating the Multiple Regression Model
- Jenny Wilson Realty Example
- 4.8. Binary or Dummy Variables
- 4.9. Model Building
- Stepwise Regression
- Multicollinearity
- 4.10. Nonlinear Regression
- 4.11. Cautions and Pitfalls in Regression Analysis
- Summary
- Glossary
- Key Equations
- Solved Problems
- Self-Test
- Discussion Questions and Problems
- Case Study: North-South Airline
- Bibliography
- Appendix 4.1: Formulas for Regression Calculations
- Chapter 5: Forecasting
- 5.1. Types of Forecasting Models
- Qualitative Models
- Causal Models
- Time-Series Models
- 5.2. Components of a Time-Series
- 5.3. Measures of Forecast Accuracy
- 5.4. Forecasting Models-Random Variations Only
- Moving Averages
- Weighted Moving Averages
- Exponential Smoothing
- Using Software for Forecasting Time Series
- 5.5. Forecasting Models-Trend and Random Variations
- Exponential Smoothing with Trend
- Trend Projections
- 5.6. Adjusting for Seasonal Variations
- Seasonal Indices
- Calculating Seasonal Indices with No Trend
- Calculating Seasonal Indices with Trend
- 5.7. Forecasting Models-Trend, Seasonal, and Random Variations
- The Decomposition Method
- Software for Decomposition
- Using Regression with Trend and Seasonal Components.
- 5.8. Monitoring and Controlling Forecasts
- Adaptive Smoothing
- Summary
- Glossary
- Key Equations
- Solved Problems
- Self-Test
- Discussion Questions and Problems
- Case Study: Forecasting Attendance at SWU Football Games
- Case Study: Forecasting Monthly Sales
- Bibliography
- Chapter 6: Inventory Control Models
- 6.1. Importance of Inventory Control
- Decoupling Function
- Storing Resources
- Irregular Supply and Demand
- Quantity Discounts
- Avoiding Stockouts and Shortages
- 6.2. Inventory Decisions
- 6.3. Economic Order Quantity: Determining How Much to Order
- Inventory Costs in the EOQ Situation
- Finding the EOQ
- Sumco Pump Company Example
- Purchase Cost of Inventory Items
- Sensitivity Analysis with the EOQ Model
- 6.4. Reorder Point: Determining When to Order
- 6.5. EOQ Without the Instantaneous Receipt Assumption
- Annual Carrying Cost for Production Run Model
- Annual Setup Cost or Annual Ordering Cost
- Determining the Optimal Production Quantity
- Brown Manufacturing Example
- 6.6. Quantity Discount Models
- Brass Department Store Example
- 6.7. Use of Safety Stock
- 6.8. Single-Period Inventory Models
- Marginal Analysis with Discrete Distributions
- Café du Donut Example
- Marginal Analysis with the Normal Distribution
- Newspaper Example
- 6.9. ABC Analysis
- 6.10. Dependent Demand: The Case for Material Requirements Planning
- Material Structure Tree
- Gross and Net Material Requirements Plans
- Two or More End Products
- 6.11. Just-In-Time Inventory Control
- 6.12. Enterprise Resource Planning
- Summary
- Glossary
- Key Equations
- Solved Problems
- Self-Test
- Discussion Questions and Problems
- Case Study: Martin-Pullin Bicycle Corporation
- Bibliography
- Appendix 6.1: Inventory Control with QM for Windows.
- Chapter 7: Linear Programming Models: Graphical and Computer Methods
- 7.1. Requirements of a Linear Programming Problem
- 7.2. Formulating LP Problems
- Flair Furniture Company
- 7.3. Graphical Solution to an LP Problem
- Graphical Representation of Constraints
- Isoprofit Line Solution Method
- Corner Point Solution Method
- Slack and Surplus
- 7.4. Solving Flair Furniture's LP Problem Using QM for Windows, Excel 2016, and Excel QM
- Using QM for Windows
- Using Excel's Solver Command to Solve LP Problems
- Using Excel QM
- 7.5. Solving Minimization Problems
- Holiday Meal Turkey Ranch
- 7.6. Four Special Cases in LP
- No Feasible Solution
- Unboundedness
- Redundancy
- Alternate Optimal Solutions
- 7.7. Sensitivity Analysis
- High Note Sound Company
- Changes in the Objective Function Coefficient
- QM for Windows and Changes in Objective Function Coefficients
- Excel Solver and Changes in Objective Function Coefficients
- Changes in the Technological Coefficients
- Changes in the Resources or Right-Hand-Side Values
- QM for Windows and Changes in Right-Hand- Side Values
- Excel Solver and Changes in Right-Hand-Side Values
- Summary
- Glossary
- Solved Problems
- Self-Test
- Discussion Questions and Problems
- Case Study: Mexicana Wire Winding, Inc.
- Bibliography
- Chapter 8: Linear Programming Applications
- 8.1. Marketing Applications
- Media Selection
- Marketing Research
- 8.2. Manufacturing Applications
- Production Mix
- Production Scheduling
- 8.3. Employee Scheduling Applications
- Labor Planning
- 8.4. Financial Applications
- Portfolio Selection
- Truck Loading Problem
- 8.5. Ingredient Blending Applications
- Diet Problems
- Ingredient Mix and Blending Problems
- 8.6. Other Linear Programming Applications
- Summary
- Self-Test
- Problems
- Case Study: Cable &
- Moore.
- Bibliography.