Macroeconomic Patterns and Stories

This book offers the wisdom and insight regarding the US economy from a well-known and distinguished econometrician who found himself first teaching macro economics to MBAs and then Directing the highly-regarded and widely-quoted UCLA/Anderson Forecast which provides quarterly forecasts for the US e...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Leamer, Edward E. (Author)
Corporate Author: SpringerLink (Online service)
Format: Electronic
Language:English
Published: Berlin, Heidelberg : Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2009.
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ezaccess.library.uitm.edu.my/login?url=http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-46389-4
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505 0 # |a Part I: Introduction: Introduction: Turning Numbers into Knowledge -- Part II: Four Key Variables: Growth, Unemployment, Inflation and Interest Rates: Cross Domestic Product -- The Components of GDP: C+I+G+X-M -- Employment and Unemployment -- Inflation and Interest Rates -- Extrapolative Forecasting -- Part III: Recessions: Symptoms: Recession Symptoms: Unwanted Idleness -- Recession Comparison Charts -- Who Struggles and Who Does Well in a Downturn?- Stories: Idleness Stories -- Cycle Stories -- Early Warning Signs: Clues -- Episodic Forecasting with Components of the Conference Board Index of Leading Indicators. Causes: The Art of Drawing Causal Inferences from Non-experimental Data -- A Search for Recession Causes. Part IV Expansions: With and Without Spurts: The Life Cycle of US Expansions: Sputters and Spurts. Part V: The Longer Run: Savings, Investment, Government Borrowing, Foreign Lending and Your Home: Savings and Investment -- Government Deficits Are Your Responsibility -- The External Deficit and the Value of the Dollar -- The Ups and Downs of Real Estate Values. 
520 # # |a This book offers the wisdom and insight regarding the US economy from a well-known and distinguished econometrician who found himself first teaching macro economics to MBAs and then Directing the highly-regarded and widely-quoted UCLA/Anderson Forecast which provides quarterly forecasts for the US economy. Edward Leamer argues that "We are pattern-seeking story-telling animals." He provides in this book the patterns and stories that are the basis for his understanding of what determines the business cycle and what determines long-run economic growth. 
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