Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems

"Tony Cox is among the most active and creative architects and users of quantitative risk analysis. This book is full of interesting equations, conceptual designs and conundrums that characterize QRA and its applications to risk management. Informed by trenchant thinking and perceptive writing,...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Cox, Louis Anthony. (Author)
Corporate Author: SpringerLink (Online service)
Format: Electronic
Language:English
Published: Boston, MA : Springer US, 2009.
Series:International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, 129
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ezaccess.library.uitm.edu.my/login?url=http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-89014-2
Table of Contents:
  • Preface
  • Goals and challenges for quantitative risk assessment
  • Introduction to engineering risk analysis
  • Introduction to health risk analysis
  • Limitations of risk assessment using risk matrices
  • Limitations of quantitative risk assessment using aggregate exposure and risk models
  • Identifying nonlinear causal relations in large data sets
  • Overcoming preconceptions and confirmation biases using data mining
  • Estimating the fraction of disease caused by one component of a complex mixture: bounds for lung cancer
  • Bounding resistance risks for penicillin
  • Confronting uncertain causal mechanisms  portfolios of possibilities
  • Determining what can be predicted  identifiability
  • Predicting effects of changes: could removing arsenic from tobacco smoke significantly reduce smoker risks of lung cancer
  • Simplifying complex dynamic networks: a mathematical model of protease imbalance and COPD dynamic dose-response
  • Value of information (VOI) in risk management policies for tracking and testing imported cattle for BSE
  • Improving anti-terrorist risk analysis
  • Designing resilient telecommunications networks
  • References
  • Index.